Birth in the United States increased by only 1 percent in 2024, still near record low rates that worried demographics and became the central part of the Trump Administration Cultural Program, According to published data On Wednesday through the Center for Disease Control and Prevention.
Last year, over 3.6 million children were born in the United States, in 2023. In 2023. In 2023, in 2023, about 1.6 births per woman are far below 2.1 births needed to maintain the country’s population through the birth.
Modern data represent “continuation of the long-term fall of births in the United States, which really began with a great recession in 2007,” said Ken Johnson, a demograph at the University of Modern Hampshire.
These numbers and the reasons why they experienced such a consistent decline are widely seen as a problem that can affect the US economy in the upcoming decades, because fewer newborn employees support the growing population aging.
President Trump called for “Demographic Turtle”, joining the conservative “pronatalistic” movement, which aims to convince more Americans to marry and many children.
Vice President JD Vance and others in the pronatalistic movement criticized childless newborn Americans, arguing that they contribute to the potential collapse of the US population because of their contempt for nuclear families and customary sexual roles.
The decrease is partly due to an extraordinary change in the one who gives birth: a significant part of the long -term trend can be attributed to a significant reduction in teenage pregnancies in the last few decades.
In 1991, the latest national peak of the birth of teenagers took place 61.8 births compared to 1000 to 19 to 19 years aged, but this number fell to 12.7 births until 2024, record.
Karen Benjamin Guzzo, a family demographer at the Northern University of Chapel Hill, in the 1990s and to the 2000th century. The fertility rate in the United States was about two children per woman, roughly at the level needed to maintain the population through the births themselves.
But these numbers were actually supported by High rate From teenagers, distinguishing the United States from nations in Europe and Asia, which have already struggled with fertility indicators well below the levels of exchange without a high level of teen pregnancy.
“We were really unique in this, embarrassingly so” – said Dr. Guzzo.
Starting from 2000, extended access to contraception slowly helped to lower the tempo Unintentional pregnancies And pregnancies for teenagers who have still been falling since then.
But especially since the great recession, birth has fallen in another group: women aged 20. In 2007106.3 births per 1000 20-24-year-olds took place, but this number fell to 56.7 to 2024. The highest birth causes in 2007 were among 25–29-year-olds, at 117.5 births per 1000 women; These numbers fell to 91.4 in 2024.
These declines were not in line with a similar escalate in births among women aged 30.
“One of the great questions are all those births that did not take place – are they just delayed?” Dr. Johnson said. “Will these women have these children later than otherwise? Or many of these births will be completely forgotten?”
The latest data seem to suggest that at least some give up having children, said Dr. Johnson, adding: “Birth in older women is a bit raised, but insufficient to compensate for all the births that did not occur.”
Push surveysMany newborn Americans still claim that they want two children. While changing attitudes can play a role in the inheritance of children, demographers indicate the growing number of obstacles that people who may want to start their family facing.
Economic conditions-a student debt, without a federal family vacation, high cost of childcare and non-domestic household owner-a general sense of instability in the world probably play a substantial role in the postponement of parenthood by Americans, said Dr. Guzzo.
“People don’t have children when they don’t feel good with their own future, “she said.
A number of proposals discussed in Trump’s administration in order to provide Americans incentives to have more children include growing funds on a part of the country with higher than average birth and marriage indicators, giving 5000 “child bonus” for fresh mothers and growing prestigious Fulbright scholarships for people who are married or have children.
While some of these ideas attracted support from Democrats, who have long argued for support for working families, it is doubtful that disposable interventions actually significantly escalate the causes of birth, say experts.
Dr. Johnson said that it is unlikely that the increased fertility rate itself would drive the population growth needed to return to substitute levels.
“Of course, immigration is another factor,” he added. Most immigrants are newborn and move to start families. “Immigrants just don’t bring each other,” he said. “They bring potential to children in the future.”